Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Colonial Athletic
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#34
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#44
Pace66.7#209
Improvement-0.3#192

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#34
Improvement+0.6#145

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#36
Improvement-0.9#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 83.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.4% n/a n/a
First Round81.3% n/a n/a
Second Round39.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.6% n/a n/a
Final Four1.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 75   Harvard W 66-53 78%     1 - 0 +16.4 +1.1 +2.9
  Nov 18, 2010 199   Charlotte W 78-56 90%     2 - 0 +19.7 -0.9 -0.4
  Nov 19, 2010 89   North Carolina St. L 65-78 73%     2 - 1 -8.0 +2.1 +2.4
  Nov 21, 2010 90   Wofford L 79-82 OT 73%     2 - 2 +1.9 +2.5 +2.3
  Nov 24, 2010 331   Radford W 81-55 99%     3 - 2 +8.8 -8.0 -8.0
  Nov 27, 2010 185   Florida Atlantic W 66-51 92%     4 - 2 +10.7 -2.1 -1.5
  Dec 01, 2010 158   George Washington W 60-46 90%     5 - 2 +11.3 -1.6 -0.4
  Dec 04, 2010 213   UNC Wilmington W 80-52 94%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +21.9 -2.4 -2.3
  Dec 08, 2010 188   Loyola Maryland W 66-52 92%     7 - 2 +9.6 -2.2 -1.4
  Dec 11, 2010 228   @ Liberty W 84-54 86%     8 - 2 +29.8 +0.8 +0.5
  Dec 22, 2010 53   @ Duquesne W 85-79 2OT 46%     9 - 2 +18.5 +6.5 +6.2
  Dec 29, 2010 100   @ Dayton L 67-73 65%     9 - 3 +1.6 +3.8 +3.5
  Jan 03, 2011 200   Delaware W 75-66 93%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +3.5 -2.5 -2.6
  Jan 05, 2011 140   @ Hofstra L 74-87 73%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -8.0 +2.4 +2.1
  Jan 08, 2011 61   @ Old Dominion L 65-69 48%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +7.8 +6.1 +5.5
  Jan 12, 2011 191   @ Northeastern W 86-60 82%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +27.7 +1.6 +1.4
  Jan 15, 2011 217   Georgia St. W 66-51 94%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +8.8 -2.9 -2.6
  Jan 19, 2011 109   Drexel W 71-47 85%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +24.3 +0.3 +1.1
  Jan 22, 2011 101   @ James Madison W 75-73 66%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +9.2 +3.7 +3.6
  Jan 24, 2011 200   @ Delaware W 69-49 84%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +20.8 +0.4 +1.4
  Jan 27, 2011 272   Towson W 84-58 97%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +16.0 -4.5 -4.2
  Jan 29, 2011 216   @ William & Mary W 85-69 85%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +16.2 +0.9 +0.1
  Feb 02, 2011 140   Hofstra W 87-68 88%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +17.7 -0.3 -0.2
  Feb 05, 2011 61   Old Dominion W 62-45 72%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +22.5 +2.6 +3.7
  Feb 08, 2011 213   @ UNC Wilmington W 78-63 85%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +15.2 +0.6 +0.4
  Feb 12, 2011 101   James Madison W 82-68 84%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +14.9 +0.7 +0.8
  Feb 15, 2011 83   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 71-51 60%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +28.9 +4.6 +5.3
  Feb 19, 2011 127   @ Northern Iowa W 77-71 71%     23 - 5 +11.8 +3.6 +2.5
  Feb 24, 2011 191   Northeastern W 67-61 92%     24 - 5 15 - 2 +1.4 -2.6 -1.7
  Feb 26, 2011 217   @ Georgia St. W 65-58 85%     25 - 5 16 - 2 +7.1 +0.3 +0.2
  Mar 05, 2011 217   Georgia St. W 68-45 91%     26 - 5 +19.9 -1.2 -0.7
  Mar 06, 2011 83   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-79 71%     26 - 6 -10.3 +2.5 +2.4
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 83.7% 83.7% 10.1 0.0 0.5 1.6 5.9 15.0 27.3 23.8 9.6 0.0 16.3 83.7%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 83.7% 0.0% 83.7% 10.1 0.0 0.5 1.6 5.9 15.0 27.3 23.8 9.6 0.0 16.3 83.7%